Kallokain: The Variance Trap, Part 4
Array and the Older Woman) Air Date: 10-06-1976Episode 65 (Michael and the Warlord) Air Date: 10-13-1976Episode 66 (Michael’s Great Romance) Air Date: 10-20-1976Episode 67 (Evans Versus Davis) Air Date: 10-27-1976Episode 68 (J.J.’s New Career: Part 1) Air Date: 11-10-1976Episode 69 (J.J.’s New Career: Part 2) Air Date: 11-17-1976Episode 70 (Grandpa’s Visit) Air Date: 11-24-1976Episode 71 (Rich is Better Than Poor⦠Maybe) Air Date: 12-08-1976Episode 72 (Florida’s Night Out) Air Date: 12-15-1976Episode 73 (The Judy Cohen Story) Air Date: 12-22-1976Episode 74 (The Comedian and the Loan Sharks) Air Date: 01-05-1977Episode 75 (The Hustle) Air Date: 01-12-1977Episode 76 (Thelma’s African Romance: Part 1) Air Date: 01-19-1977Episode 77 (Thelma’s African Romance: Part 2) Air Date: 01-19-1977Episode 78 (Willona’s Surprise) Air Date: 01-26-1977Episode 79 (A Friend in Need) Air Date: 02-02-1977Episode 80 (A Stormy Relationship) Air Date: 02-09-1977Episode 81 (Florida and Carl) Air Date: 02-23-1977Episode 82 (My Son, the Father) Air Date: 03-02-1977Episode 83 (J.J. in Business) Air Date: 03-09-1977Episode 84 (Love Has a Spot on His Lung: Part 1) Air Date: 03-23-1977Episode 85 (Love Has a Spot on His Lung: Part 2) Air Date: 03-30-1977Additional Good Times reviews:Good Times (Season 1) DVDGood Times (Season 2) DVDGood Times (Season 3) DVDAbout the AuthorBritt Gillette is author of The DVD Report, a movie and television review blog where you can find more reviews just like this one.
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Meanwhile, Cotton and Didi have a baby, but rather than care for the child themselves, they push the task onto Bobby⦠Other notable episodes from Season 4 include Bills are Made to be Broken in which Hank convinces the local high school football coach to let Bill play one more game so that he can get back his old school record for touchdowns, and Naked Ambition in which Bobby accidentally sees Luanne naked, causing Joseph to eagerly seek his own peekâ¦Below is a list of episodes included on the King of the Hill (Season 4) DVD:Episode 61 (Peggy Hill: The Decline and Fall) Air Date: 09-26-1999Episode 62 (Cotton’s Plan) Air Date: 10-03-1999Episode 63 (Bills are Made to be Broken) Air Date: 10-24-1999Episode 64 (Little Horrors of Shop) Air Date: 10-31-1999Episode 65 (Aisle 8A) Air Date: 11-07-1999Episode 66 (A Beer Can Named Desire) Air Date: 11-14-1999Episode 67 (The Hank’s Giving Episode) Air Date: 11-21-1999Episode 68 (Not in My Back Hoe) Air Date: 11-28-1999Episode 69 (To Kill a Ladybird) Air Date: 12-12-1999Episode 70 (Hillennium) Air Date: 12-19-1999Episode 71 (Old Glory) Air Date: 01-09-2000Episode 72 (Rodeo Days) Air Date: 01-16-2000Episode 73 (Hanky Panky) Air Date: 02-06-2000Episode 74 (High Anxiety) Air Date: 02-13-2000Episode 75 (Naked Ambition) Air Date: 02-20-2000Episode 76 (Movin’ On Up) Air Date: 02-27-2000Episode 77 (Bill of Sales) Air Date: 03-12-2000Episode 78 (Won’t You Pimai Neighbor?) Air Date: 03-19-2000Episode 79 (Hank’s Bad Hair Day) Air Date: 04-09-2000Episode 80 (Meet the Propaniacs) Air Date: 04-16-2000Episode 81 (Nancy Boys) Air Date: 04-30-2000Episode 82 (Flush with Power) Air Date: 05-07-2000Episode 83 (Transnational Amusements Present: Peggy’s Magic Sex Feet) Air Date: 05-14-2000Episode 84 (Peggy’s Fan Fair) Air Date: 05-21-2000Additional King Of The Hill reviews:King Of The Hill (Season 1) DVDKing Of The Hill (Season 2) DVDKing Of The Hill (Season 3) DVDAbout the AuthorBritt Gillette is author of The DVD Report, a movie and television review blog where you can find more reviews just like this one.
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The production profiles are from the 2004 BP statistical review.Saudi ArabiaSourceReservesYearCumulativeYTFUltimateBP Statistical Review262.730Year-End 2004113.8NA376Oil & Gas Journal266.810January 1, 2006117NA384World Oil262.075Year-End 2004113.8NA376IHS 219Year-End 2002106.234332-460USGS261.4Year-End 199685.8136483ASPO194200110314300The uncertainty about the URR is modeled by a triangular distribution shown on the figure below:IranSourceReservesYearCumulativeYTFUltimateBP Statistical Review132.460Year-End 200457.2NA190Oil & Gas Journal132.460January 1, 200659NA192World Oil130.800Year-End 200457.2NA188IHS101Year-End 200254.36161-250ASPO68Year-End 2002548130USGS 92.6Year-End 19964667206RussiaSourceReservesYearCumulativeYTFUltimateBP Statistical Review72.277Year-End 2004130NA202Oil & Gas Journal60.000January 1, 2006133NA193World Oil67.138Year-End 2004130NA197IHS59Year-End 200212726202-239USGS 55Year-End 1996110115280ASPO60Year-End 200212723210NorwaySourceReservesYearCumulativeYTFUltimateBP Statistical Review9.673Year-End 200419.5NA29Oil & peak oil USGS oil production oil Russia Iran Norway Saudi Arabia
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-ne This installment of The Variance Trap compares two similar development process simulations. To simulate variations in productivity the simulation system throws a die for each process stage, for each tick of the simulation system clock.The yellow line represents a simulation with a six-sided die. The 1d3 2 process has less variance than the 1d6 process. The flow is steadier, with less inventory build up during a simulation run.The implication is that if we can reduce the statistical fluctuations in a software development process, we can increase the productivity.Let’s take stock of what we have learned so far:Because of statistical fluctuations, a an unregulated development process will be slower than the slowest of the process steps.
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Array and the Older Woman) Air Date: 10-06-1976Episode 65 (Michael and the Warlord) Air Date: 10-13-1976Episode 66 (Michael’s Great Romance) Air Date: 10-20-1976Episode 67 (Evans Versus Davis) Air Date: 10-27-1976Episode 68 (J.J.’s New Career: Part 1) Air Date: 11-10-1976Episode 69 (J.J.’s New Career: Part 2) Air Date: 11-17-1976Episode 70 (Grandpa’s Visit) Air Date: 11-24-1976Episode 71 (Rich is Better Than Poor⦠Maybe) Air Date: 12-08-1976Episode 72 (Florida’s Night Out) Air Date: 12-15-1976Episode 73 (The Judy Cohen Story) Air Date: 12-22-1976Episode 74 (The Comedian and the Loan Sharks) Air Date: 01-05-1977Episode 75 (The Hustle) Air Date: 01-12-1977Episode 76 (Thelma’s African Romance: Part 1) Air Date: 01-19-1977Episode 77 (Thelma’s African Romance: Part 2) Air Date: 01-19-1977Episode 78 (Willona’s Surprise) Air Date: 01-26-1977Episode 79 (A Friend in Need) Air Date: 02-02-1977Episode 80 (A Stormy Relationship) Air Date: 02-09-1977Episode 81 (Florida and Carl) Air Date: 02-23-1977Episode 82 (My Son, the Father) Air Date: 03-02-1977Episode 83 (J.J. in Business) Air Date: 03-09-1977Episode 84 (Love Has a Spot on His Lung: Part 1) Air Date: 03-23-1977Episode 85 (Love Has a Spot on His Lung: Part 2) Air Date: 03-30-1977Additional Good Times reviews:Good Times (Season 1) DVDGood Times (Season 2) DVDGood Times (Season 3) DVDAbout the AuthorBritt Gillette is author of The DVD Report, a movie and television review blog where you can find more reviews just like this one.
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Meanwhile, Cotton and Didi have a baby, but rather than care for the child themselves, they push the task onto Bobby⦠Other notable episodes from Season 4 include Bills are Made to be Broken in which Hank convinces the local high school football coach to let Bill play one more game so that he can get back his old school record for touchdowns, and Naked Ambition in which Bobby accidentally sees Luanne naked, causing Joseph to eagerly seek his own peekâ¦Below is a list of episodes included on the King of the Hill (Season 4) DVD:Episode 61 (Peggy Hill: The Decline and Fall) Air Date: 09-26-1999Episode 62 (Cotton’s Plan) Air Date: 10-03-1999Episode 63 (Bills are Made to be Broken) Air Date: 10-24-1999Episode 64 (Little Horrors of Shop) Air Date: 10-31-1999Episode 65 (Aisle 8A) Air Date: 11-07-1999Episode 66 (A Beer Can Named Desire) Air Date: 11-14-1999Episode 67 (The Hank’s Giving Episode) Air Date: 11-21-1999Episode 68 (Not in My Back Hoe) Air Date: 11-28-1999Episode 69 (To Kill a Ladybird) Air Date: 12-12-1999Episode 70 (Hillennium) Air Date: 12-19-1999Episode 71 (Old Glory) Air Date: 01-09-2000Episode 72 (Rodeo Days) Air Date: 01-16-2000Episode 73 (Hanky Panky) Air Date: 02-06-2000Episode 74 (High Anxiety) Air Date: 02-13-2000Episode 75 (Naked Ambition) Air Date: 02-20-2000Episode 76 (Movin’ On Up) Air Date: 02-27-2000Episode 77 (Bill of Sales) Air Date: 03-12-2000Episode 78 (Won’t You Pimai Neighbor?) Air Date: 03-19-2000Episode 79 (Hank’s Bad Hair Day) Air Date: 04-09-2000Episode 80 (Meet the Propaniacs) Air Date: 04-16-2000Episode 81 (Nancy Boys) Air Date: 04-30-2000Episode 82 (Flush with Power) Air Date: 05-07-2000Episode 83 (Transnational Amusements Present: Peggy’s Magic Sex Feet) Air Date: 05-14-2000Episode 84 (Peggy’s Fan Fair) Air Date: 05-21-2000Additional King Of The Hill reviews:King Of The Hill (Season 1) DVDKing Of The Hill (Season 2) DVDKing Of The Hill (Season 3) DVDAbout the AuthorBritt Gillette is author of The DVD Report, a movie and television review blog where you can find more reviews just like this one.
link
The production profiles are from the 2004 BP statistical review.Saudi ArabiaSourceReservesYearCumulativeYTFUltimateBP Statistical Review262.730Year-End 2004113.8NA376Oil & Gas Journal266.810January 1, 2006117NA384World Oil262.075Year-End 2004113.8NA376IHS 219Year-End 2002106.234332-460USGS261.4Year-End 199685.8136483ASPO194200110314300The uncertainty about the URR is modeled by a triangular distribution shown on the figure below:IranSourceReservesYearCumulativeYTFUltimateBP Statistical Review132.460Year-End 200457.2NA190Oil & Gas Journal132.460January 1, 200659NA192World Oil130.800Year-End 200457.2NA188IHS101Year-End 200254.36161-250ASPO68Year-End 2002548130USGS 92.6Year-End 19964667206RussiaSourceReservesYearCumulativeYTFUltimateBP Statistical Review72.277Year-End 2004130NA202Oil & Gas Journal60.000January 1, 2006133NA193World Oil67.138Year-End 2004130NA197IHS59Year-End 200212726202-239USGS 55Year-End 1996110115280ASPO60Year-End 200212723210NorwaySourceReservesYearCumulativeYTFUltimateBP Statistical Review9.673Year-End 200419.5NA29Oil & peak oil USGS oil production oil Russia Iran Norway Saudi Arabia
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-ne This installment of The Variance Trap compares two similar development process simulations. To simulate variations in productivity the simulation system throws a die for each process stage, for each tick of the simulation system clock.The yellow line represents a simulation with a six-sided die. The 1d3 2 process has less variance than the 1d6 process. The flow is steadier, with less inventory build up during a simulation run.The implication is that if we can reduce the statistical fluctuations in a software development process, we can increase the productivity.Let’s take stock of what we have learned so far:Because of statistical fluctuations, a an unregulated development process will be slower than the slowest of the process steps.
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